PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DoubleDip

0xadec0c1c1991e9dd0bdcf9401479614b65b43c7b

Realised P&L
$-24.4k
Volume
$7.27M
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? · Yes0.2200.890$3.6k+$2.7k
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.3500.390$1.2k+$120.00
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next? · Yes0.0000.675$822.61+$822.61
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5330.495$758.97$59.00
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6900.635$610.98$52.92
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.025$487.92+$487.92
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao0.3600.475$428.29+$103.69
Will Yeet launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7780.445$326.91$244.41
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.015$296.30$172.47
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.3550.202$258.97$195.89
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.007$256.19+$256.19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.1700.220$226.47+$51.47
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.013$222.12+$222.12
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings? · Yes0.0000.745$181.24+$181.24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.146$174.56+$75.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:50Will Kick 2 by Argentina in the penalty shootout of the World Cup Final be made or missed?BUY0.03$0.54
07-18 01:34Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01009546$32.19
07-15 21:03Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.56$16.07
07-15 20:53Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.9084875522$631.31
07-15 20:52Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.5827275207$64.09
07-15 20:50Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$283.24
07-15 20:50Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5779658973$402.68
07-15 20:20Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$97.16
07-15 02:40Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1833131224$189.41
07-14 21:27Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.121$48.86
07-14 21:26Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1301363991$78.36
07-14 21:24Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.902699229$286.83
07-14 21:19Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.8633080006$2.0k
07-14 20:59Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.98$18.62
07-14 19:58Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?BUY0.008$3.35
Trader DoubleDip · PolyBot