TocadoSuperdotado1123
0xaddfabff8a494bb74ea68271207502a2bee4a707
- Realised P&L
- $-155.76
- Volume
- $905.75
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $390.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.745 | $293.52 | +$41.37 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.302 | $97.11 | −$99.41 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? · No | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.71 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 08:08 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.79 |
| 05-04 08:08 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $16.08 |
| 05-04 08:07 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $44.68 |
| 05-04 08:04 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 05-04 08:03 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 05-04 08:03 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 05-04 08:01 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 05-04 07:54 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.689 | $34.45 |
| 05-04 07:52 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.686 | $55.15 |
| 05-04 07:52 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.635 | $15.65 |
| 05-04 07:51 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.634 | $13.85 |
| 05-04 07:50 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $33.00 |
| 05-04 07:47 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.528 | $44.41 |
| 05-03 16:46 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.5989830721 | $47.71 |
| 05-03 15:22 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |