0xadb953e66ff2573ce9ba2104f86e7c8ccb258326
- Realised P&L
- $-16.29
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $144.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$870.39at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
- +$160.29at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?
- +$86.65at 0.319Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 26?
- +$86.54at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on April 12?
- +$75.99at 0.802Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $73.93 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9947484046 | $113.79 |
| 08-04 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.38 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.73 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.12 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7781871172 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5405405405 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.55 |
| 08-04 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |