hyfgujs
0xad9b39f96fc4bb2435b5ee376f3c87c8261f086b
- Realised P&L
- $-17.13
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.052 | $1.05 | −$2.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.180Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.230Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$0.00at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?
- +$0.00at 0.190Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?
- +$0.00at 0.190Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 02:56 | Will AfD win fewer than 34 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.72 |
| 07-27 13:57 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $134 Week of July 27 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-27 12:23 | Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 07-27 12:16 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 11:04 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 07-27 09:36 | Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-27 09:35 | Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-27 09:06 | Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.40 |
| 07-27 08:56 | Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 08:16 | Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 07-27 08:08 | Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 07:59 | Will Boeing say "Dividend" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-27 01:43 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 07-26 14:05 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.174 | $0.87 |
| 07-26 13:43 | Will Shadowrocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |