RONIOS
0xad53b6847ba1d522fe0650b2be6e8127a227541d
- Realised P&L
- $144.19
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $60.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.595 | $60.03 | +$5.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$199.87 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.674 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$99.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on July 29? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.22at 0.644Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?
- +$78.84at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2?
- +$71.06at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 28?
- +$69.70at 0.590Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?
- +$64.20at 0.610Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7804919929 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6741624272 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6000304912 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.7999797061 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.59 | $22.96 |
| 08-02 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8666671531 | $59.39 |
| 08-01 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8986766734 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.7713256702 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.10 |
| 07-31 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $52.98 |
| 07-30 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $100.10 |
| 07-29 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.7223240129 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.5994005994 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.668278 | $33.41 |