PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

4knort

0xaca58a11e18911452382289b6867405299df2709

Realised P&L
$186.61
Volume
$86.3k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$255.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.4580.315$137.64$62.36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3900.230$117.95$82.05
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$36.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$15.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$52.38
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$49.00
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5100.000$0.00$50.00
Will JD Vance clap between 50–59 times during the State of the Union? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$11.00
Will JD Vance clap between 40–49 times during the State of the Union? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$25.00
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 15:41Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.4577114423$200.00
06-21 14:01UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.6799999995$300.00
06-11 23:24UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2$50.00
06-11 23:24UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999986$50.00
06-11 23:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1899999995$300.00
06-11 23:20US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3899999994$200.00
05-06 08:38Will Trump visit China by May 15?SELL0.10852064$135.65
05-05 09:47Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.16$200.00
04-24 11:01Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.94$839.28
04-24 11:01US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?SELL0.95$1.4k
04-16 12:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999998$920.47
04-15 06:49US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.6099999996$500.00
04-15 06:42Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.5599999996$500.00
04-15 06:37Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?SELL0.2486496504$183.14
04-15 00:21Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?BUY0.2715359519$200.00