5aZR7aq48ier
0xac9e148574d3ea202deecdd0b9d8bcee39ec9a65
- Realised P&L
- $-5.77
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $116.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.36at 0.550Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- +$8.57at 0.700Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
- +$7.21at 0.471Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$4.28at 0.959Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$3.77at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 23:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.78 | $18.21 |
| 05-31 02:07 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | BUY | 0.6999999685 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 03:53 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 03:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.958999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 13:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 12:52 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 05-10 00:36 | Epstein suicide note released by May 8? | BUY | 0.0435641545 | $23.69 |
| 05-10 00:21 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | SELL | 0.2733848107 | $25.85 |
| 05-09 23:11 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15? | BUY | 0.3601557379 | $34.05 |
| 05-09 23:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.13 |
| 05-09 23:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.12 |
| 05-03 09:34 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 09:37 | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 09:34 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 09:34 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |