0xabcd1ede83fcdd61505ec380aa8b2e582ae86771
- Realised P&L
- $17.75
- Volume
- $65.6k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $26.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.21at 0.038Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$88.72at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 29?
- +$84.79at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?
- +$81.74at 0.299Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
- +$69.94at 0.416Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0733796848 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2460564844 | $10.42 |
| 08-03 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0082590023 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0606050002 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0272727141 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0340194558 | $2.41 |
| 08-01 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.10 |
| 08-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0636031166 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0563115387 | $1.00 |