0xaB8bFF5C449Dae15AB783BA21bE64E4F8F2Da34c-1778461954781
0xab8bff5c449dae15ab783ba21be64e4f8f2da34c
- Realised P&L
- $1.49
- Volume
- $320.30
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $0.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$14.27at 0.412Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$5.50at 0.450Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.89at 0.940Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$2.09at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:46 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 4-10? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 06-11 06:12 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 06-11 06:11 | Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 05-25 10:18 | Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.559 | $2.30 |
| 05-22 03:30 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 05-20 01:38 | Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 05-19 07:48 | Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $4.93 |
| 05-19 07:48 | Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.527 | $2.64 |
| 05-19 07:47 | Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.617 | $3.08 |
| 05-19 07:46 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.596 | $2.98 |
| 05-19 02:40 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22? | BUY | 0.949 | $0.67 |
| 05-18 07:18 | Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 05-11 03:56 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 05-11 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $5.23 |