0xab7f2a5b0ba85bc882c7b7f651a106d7f80cb8c3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.65
- Volume
- $519.21
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $14.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · Yes | 0.500 | 1.000 | $7.32 | +$3.66 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.390 | $5.85 | −$1.40 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.220 | $1.10 | −$0.35 |
| Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.041 | $0.20 | −$0.69 |
| Will Breece Hall be traded? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.010Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.030Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.010Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $580,000 on April 1?
- +$-0.15at 0.160Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.25at 0.190Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 15:57 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 03-20 15:54 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 03-20 15:54 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 03-20 11:33 | Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 03-20 11:33 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.3686133333 | $5.53 |
| 03-20 11:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 03-20 11:03 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.388 | $1.94 |
| 03-20 11:01 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 03-20 11:01 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.29 |
| 03-20 11:01 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |