Eff7nhjuikkk
0xab5d32b020356d19efae14f4a120f53640b212a0
- Realised P&L
- $-6.52
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.865 | $1.06 | −$0.04 |
| Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.190 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| D4vd arrested by September 30? · Yes | 0.762 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.48 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.76at 0.960Will a Republican win Wyoming Presidential Election?
- +$1.77at 0.600Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?
- +$1.33at 0.750Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
- +$1.28at 0.530Will the Chargers beat the Panthers by 5 or more points?
- +$0.68at 0.650DEL: Koelner Haie vs. Bremerhaven
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 05:29 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9928563839 | $115.87 |
| 06-09 05:29 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.997 | $60.00 |
| 06-09 05:29 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $50.05 |
| 06-01 13:09 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.994 | $116.00 |
| 06-01 13:08 | Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $60.00 |
| 06-01 13:07 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 13:07 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 06-01 13:07 | Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 04-27 05:18 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $210.42 |
| 04-27 05:18 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $169.83 |
| 04-27 05:18 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $101.01 |
| 04-23 09:08 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.00 |
| 04-23 09:08 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 04-23 09:08 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $101.00 |
| 04-23 09:07 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $170.00 |