PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

i-eagle

0xab3bfc4fd2659469f2e9a6c530eb7645002c59da

Realised P&L
$-62.12
Volume
$32.3k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$603.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0380.037$10.00$0.13
Will the Republican Party win the CA-10 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the CA-31 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$10.00$0.91
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat? · Yes0.1400.135$10.00$0.37
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? · Yes0.0390.038$9.94$0.26
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$8.65$1.32
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1170.095$8.52$1.93
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.0960.075$8.26$2.29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.155$8.16+$2.89
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1090.095$7.23$1.06
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.073$6.51+$2.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:44Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.073$0.26
08-02 20:27Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.22$4.68
08-02 09:56Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?SELL0.06$5.45
08-02 02:24Will the Republican Party win the CA-33 House seat?SELL0.06$5.45
08-01 20:54Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.1$2.00
08-01 20:24Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?SELL0.06$5.45
08-01 17:27Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.054$4.86
08-01 15:20Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?SELL0.0324380201$4.44
08-01 15:20Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.051$0.97
07-31 20:302026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.44$5.06
07-31 15:35Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.04$0.38
07-31 06:29Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.12$6.32
07-30 10:36Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1$5.26
07-30 10:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.123$4.90
07-30 01:16Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.08$5.33