0xab148d58d21da1ba2d8ef19c491140259174e786
- Realised P&L
- $203.45
- Volume
- $66.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,219
- Open portfolio
- $44.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,219
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.525 | $15.75 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.266 | 0.325 | $11.38 | +$2.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.305 | $9.15 | +$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.225 | $6.75 | −$1.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.095 | $1.11 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.010 | $0.82 | −$1.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.80at 0.165Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?
- +$52.59at 0.368LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)
- +$48.32at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?
- +$38.46at 0.312Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?
- +$36.34at 0.244Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-04 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.72 |
| 08-04 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-04 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.12 |