gtxrt
0xab0403743257406e92ba1590e852ffc8d32b870b
- Realised P&L
- $-231.12
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $4.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.145 | $2.90 | +$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.035 | $1.40 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.013 | $0.41 | −$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?
- +$25.60at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?
- +$21.05at 0.100Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?
- +$18.00at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?
- +$17.96at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.01 |
| 08-01 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.1894101081 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.95 |
| 07-31 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 07-30 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.69 |
| 07-30 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.1151256621 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.2156861349 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |