etumhjm
0xaae3661f9a4d38f03e8ac43c7e8d86c01f49f436
- Realised P&L
- $-200.21
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $79.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.012 | $79.79 | −$47.21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.250US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0191003093 | $127.00 |
| 05-25 08:53 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 08:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 05-22 16:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0510638378 | $57.00 |
| 05-22 16:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |