PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xaAaC79410dA880a3f17393293457670356f69C0F-1777391047351

0xaaac79410da880a3f17393293457670356f69c0f

Realised P&L
$-57.19
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$40.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.675$18.49$1.51
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.4700.740$11.02+$4.02
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0410.038$4.70$0.30
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.065$3.82$6.18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1770.117$1.33$0.67
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.060$0.67$0.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 15:25Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999587$4.00
07-05 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSELL0.69$1.38
07-05 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSELL0.13$2.17
07-05 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.119999952$2.00
07-05 14:25Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?BUY0.0409999923$5.00
06-12 18:39Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.4699999651$7.00
05-12 20:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?BUY0.0051740834$4.75
05-12 20:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?BUY0.1089870124$5.00
05-12 20:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.08$1.95
05-12 20:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.32$5.33
05-12 09:07Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.1255742827$5.00
05-10 19:04Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.003960396$2.00
05-10 19:03Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?SELL0.13$2.41
05-09 06:36Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?SELL0.19$3.52
05-08 08:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 9?BUY0.2599998648$1.00