Lucifer1707
0xaa96e15ed40ede1799a8e2501c8003be3da89592
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $296.7k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $669.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$427.32at 0.984Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$350.00at 0.300Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$257.14at 0.011Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
- +$223.99at 0.195Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$162.29at 0.961Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:41 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 07-30 04:41 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 07-25 12:45 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.35 |
| 07-25 09:33 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.06 |
| 07-22 13:08 | Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.55 |
| 07-18 09:49 | Credible FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.979 | $30.35 |
| 07-14 04:09 | Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.91 | $19.11 |
| 07-13 05:30 | Credible FDV above $60M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $439.84 |
| 07-13 04:50 | Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? | SELL | 0.0336470588 | $2.86 |
| 07-10 12:23 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10? | BUY | 0.3855659857 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 11:58 | Telangana T20: Karimnagar Diamonds vs Ranga Reddy Risers | BUY | 0.999 | $161.50 |
| 07-09 07:21 | Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 07-09 06:22 | Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $44.26 |
| 07-09 06:21 | Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $7.92 |
| 07-08 14:33 | Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.10 |