PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lucifer1707

0xaa96e15ed40ede1799a8e2501c8003be3da89592

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$296.7k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$669.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · No0.8770.895$449.83+$9.06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.8500.905$97.74+$5.94
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.855$46.14+$1.89
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.5800.620$31.00+$2.00
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.2100.230$10.35+$0.90
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.1300.455$9.10+$6.50
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0350.055$8.86+$3.13
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8990.885$7.94$0.12
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4400.420$7.56$0.36
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.155$1.22+$0.51
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? · No0.0090.000$0.00$1.06
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale? · No0.0860.000$0.00$50.11
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale? · No0.4200.000$0.00$3.78
Over $2M committed to the Credible public sale? · No0.0450.000$0.00$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 04:41Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.89$4.45
07-30 04:41Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.85$8.50
07-25 12:45Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.003$1.35
07-25 09:33Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?BUY0.009$1.06
07-22 13:08Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.22$5.55
07-18 09:49Credible FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.979$30.35
07-14 04:09Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.91$19.11
07-13 05:30Credible FDV above $60M one day after launch?BUY0.97$439.84
07-13 04:50Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?SELL0.0336470588$2.86
07-10 12:23WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?BUY0.3855659857$20.00
07-09 11:58Telangana T20: Karimnagar Diamonds vs Ranga Reddy RisersBUY0.999$161.50
07-09 07:21Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.19$7.60
07-09 06:22Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$44.26
07-09 06:21Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.44$7.92
07-08 14:33Over $80M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.06$5.10