penicillin.
0xaa8a01cef1e8306a298cddc1bd77c03ec9e1990d
- Realised P&L
- $-738.75
- Volume
- $601.3k
- Markets traded
- 269
- Open portfolio
- $19.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded269
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.095 | $19.00 | −$12.50 |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.015 | $0.86 | −$4.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.34at 0.001Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
- +$13.12at 0.287Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$12.45at 0.500Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 9?
- +$10.57at 0.056Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
- +$7.94at 0.001Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs TNC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 19:54 | Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.24 |
| 07-27 02:21 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $63.06 |
| 07-18 18:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $272.47 |
| 06-15 14:55 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs RUSTEC (+6.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-15 08:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $43.43 |
| 06-14 22:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.18 |
| 06-14 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.18 |
| 06-14 20:53 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-14 20:44 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 06-14 20:43 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | SELL | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 06-14 20:34 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-14 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 06-14 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.03 |
| 06-14 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? | BUY | 0.0675620352 | $1.73 |