PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xaa681f1ad6b642449d38a30ca79db09875449977

Realised P&L
$-52.64
Volume
$926.38
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$31.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.3100.880$22.71+$14.71
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes0.2900.165$4.55$3.45
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · Yes0.1720.093$4.36$3.64
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims) · Dom Mar Fan0.4260.000$0.00$11.79
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.2920.000$0.00$11.74
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$8.00
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-02? · No0.4260.000$0.00$11.79
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$11.77
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 15:22Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
04-27 08:18Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?BUY0.3414799681$1.87
04-27 07:26Jiujiang: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Coleman WongBUY0.349999984$11.53
04-27 07:13Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?BUY0.4099999894$11.58
04-27 05:58Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?BUY0.3499222239$11.53
04-27 05:52Will Solana reach $90 April 20-26?SELL0.999$5.00
04-27 05:45Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1439999903$12.00
04-26 15:27Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-04-26?SELL0.03$1.11
04-26 15:27Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26?SELL0.1827142857$3.84
04-26 14:42Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?BUY0.349999984$10.88
04-26 13:07Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerBUY0.2799999888$11.48
04-26 12:59Will Smouha SC win on 2026-04-27?BUY0.32$11.51
04-26 12:41Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.16$11.40
04-26 11:37Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29?BUY0.2919818895$11.49
04-26 11:27UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.4264039814$11.59