0xaa681f1ad6b642449d38a30ca79db09875449977
- Realised P&L
- $-52.64
- Volume
- $926.38
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $31.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No | 0.310 | 0.880 | $22.71 | +$14.71 |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.165 | $4.55 | −$3.45 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.093 | $4.36 | −$3.64 |
| UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims) · Dom Mar Fan | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.79 |
| Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.74 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-02? · No | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.79 |
| Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.77 |
| Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.71at 0.310Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova
- +$25.50at 0.320Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- +$22.29at 0.350Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?
- +$14.86at 0.350Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$3.60at 0.280Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 04-27 08:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.3414799681 | $1.87 |
| 04-27 07:26 | Jiujiang: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.349999984 | $11.53 |
| 04-27 07:13 | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27? | BUY | 0.4099999894 | $11.58 |
| 04-27 05:58 | Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.3499222239 | $11.53 |
| 04-27 05:52 | Will Solana reach $90 April 20-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 04-27 05:45 | Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1439999903 | $12.00 |
| 04-26 15:27 | Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-04-26? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.11 |
| 04-26 15:27 | Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-26? | SELL | 0.1827142857 | $3.84 |
| 04-26 14:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29? | BUY | 0.349999984 | $10.88 |
| 04-26 13:07 | Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | BUY | 0.2799999888 | $11.48 |
| 04-26 12:59 | Will Smouha SC win on 2026-04-27? | BUY | 0.32 | $11.51 |
| 04-26 12:41 | Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | BUY | 0.16 | $11.40 |
| 04-26 11:37 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-04-29? | BUY | 0.2919818895 | $11.49 |
| 04-26 11:27 | UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.4264039814 | $11.59 |