0xa902bbaF6F1496Ed7d64F0020c767E0b03E42597-1765768245094
0xa902bbaf6f1496ed7d64f0020c767e0b03e42597
- Realised P&L
- $927.08
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $91.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.455 | $91.00 | +$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.52at 0.031Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)
- +$294.75at 0.093Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)
- +$123.34at 0.700Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
- +$43.33at 0.140Iran leadership change by May 31?
- +$16.56at 0.100Iran leadership change by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:40 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 04-27 01:33 | Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26) | SELL | 0.9000358292 | $528.78 |
| 04-08 23:37 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2919053333 | $87.57 |
| 04-08 22:38 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $14.46 |
| 04-08 00:41 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $17.79 |
| 04-07 23:35 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $92.35 |
| 01-01 03:47 | Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | SELL | 0.9528287245 | $464.13 |
| 12-15 02:28 | Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14) | BUY | 0.11 | $8.25 |