pechenka2311
0xa8b37cec5fa0b1b8cc3363e4f10a21a4049e4484
- Realised P&L
- $23.5k
- Volume
- $3.27M
- Markets traded
- 457
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded457
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.474Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?
- +$1.8kat 0.625Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
- +$1.7kat 0.229Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
- +$1.6kat 0.733Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.383Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 15:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $175.07 |
| 07-31 15:39 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $22.49 |
| 07-31 15:38 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.192 | $3.84 |
| 07-31 15:37 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.036 | $4.32 |
| 07-31 15:34 | Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.0038441558 | $1.48 |
| 07-31 15:34 | Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 07-31 15:31 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 15:31 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $6.52 |
| 07-31 15:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.39 |
| 07-31 15:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | SELL | 0.002 | $4.06 |
| 07-31 15:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.28 |
| 07-31 15:26 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | SELL | 0.0113377583 | $13.09 |
| 07-31 15:22 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 15:20 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.949 | $18.62 |
| 07-31 15:14 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | SELL | 0.0254844257 | $5.26 |