0xa8602359ac26cd1b9380c8834ed8de5b265fb2cf
- Realised P&L
- $-256.02
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $4.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina · Xinyu Wang | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.16 | −$0.04 |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) · Australia | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Up | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.89at 0.360Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5
- +$79.44at 0.320Spread: France (-2.5)
- +$75.83at 0.480Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$68.00at 0.100Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
- +$60.35at 0.570Spread: France (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:53 | National Bank Open: Xinyu Wang vs Daria Kasatkina | BUY | 0.5099999478 | $4.20 |
| 07-30 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 07-30 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-30 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999141 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.85 |
| 07-30 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999163 | $1.30 |
| 07-30 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2399998516 | $1.10 |
| 07-29 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $3.31 |
| 07-29 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799998835 | $1.50 |
| 07-29 19:01 | Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Ngounoue/Smith vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi | SELL | 0.99 | $3.71 |
| 07-29 15:31 | Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Ngounoue/Smith vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.55 |
| 07-29 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5799998763 | $1.50 |
| 07-29 04:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5699998784 | $1.50 |
| 07-28 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $3.48 |