mofumofu
0xa83e100324690ff83be3699a8e6cfd2ab3c5ee22
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $981.7k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $57.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.865 | $23.3k | −$1.8k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.998 | $12.7k | +$730.25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.836 | 0.585 | $11.4k | −$4.9k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.983 | 1.000 | $10.0k | +$165.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.225 | $225.00 | −$125.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$502.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.870US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.0kat 0.978Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$2.9kat 0.736Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$1.6kat 0.930Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.974Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.949 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 02:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.9k |
| 08-01 05:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 07:23 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $321.56 |
| 07-10 20:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $359.02 |
| 04-14 14:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $77.22 |
| 04-14 14:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 04-09 17:15 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants | BUY | 0.74 | $728.46 |
| 04-01 07:03 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.0k |
| 03-23 15:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $6.84 |
| 03-09 06:09 | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9? | SELL | 0.901 | $703.92 |
| 02-25 04:01 | Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer? | BUY | 0.999 | $163.84 |
| 02-24 16:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24? | BUY | 0.98 | $27.22 |
| 02-10 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.3k |
| 02-10 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.499 | $88.38 |