PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Cognit00000

0xa7f179659a3a05a4532c5ace802c25e3ca29d867

Realised P&L
$9.3k
Volume
$711.2k
Markets traded
565
Open portfolio
$150.16

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded565
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2800.385$38.50+$10.50
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? · No0.7860.905$36.20+$4.75
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.1300.140$25.20+$1.80
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North? · Yes0.2300.150$22.50$12.00
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.7500.974$16.90+$3.88
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.7600.280$11.20$19.20
Magic vs. Cavaliers · Magic0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Connecticut Huskies vs. Georgetown Hoyas · Georgetown Hoyas0.0750.000$0.00$7.52
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5 · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$4.43
Devils vs. Stars · Stars0.6100.000$0.00$36.60
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 4.5 · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$14.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.4630.000$0.00$40.00
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 · Yes0.3990.000$0.00$3.49
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Over0.6810.000$0.00$74.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.6700.000$0.00$13.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 04:52Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETBUY0.5584773591$253.51
05-05 04:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?SELL0.42$193.11
05-05 04:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.5799999979$100.00
05-05 04:45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.7543424301$10.00
05-05 04:45Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY0.6799999946$10.00
05-05 04:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.8233453689$50.00
05-05 04:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.7757220573$50.00
05-05 04:37Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.7599999878$10.00
05-05 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.8462151544$20.00
05-05 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.689999999$100.00
05-05 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.8442656288$660.53
05-05 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.87$59.51
05-05 04:24Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.523452$52.35
05-05 04:23Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.57$17.10
05-05 04:23Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.54$5.40