berbyRss
0xa71d23830a48b95485bb732db1dccf2005e1433c
- Realised P&L
- $-50.45
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.025 | $1.48 | −$0.24 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.98 |
| Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-11.48at 0.013Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$-17.25at 0.074Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 07:13 | Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.0295040684 | $1.72 |
| 01-23 07:04 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 01-23 07:04 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.99 |
| 01-22 15:30 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0574878469 | $4.49 |
| 01-22 15:29 | Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.058999985 | $3.50 |
| 01-22 15:29 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0095134547 | $3.50 |
| 01-22 10:48 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0150376882 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 10:48 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0810000023 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 10:45 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0133136377 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 10:44 | Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0646766027 | $4.00 |
| 01-22 10:43 | Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0151434253 | $2.97 |
| 01-22 10:43 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.0831033082 | $10.00 |
| 01-16 05:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.0419999804 | $2.00 |
| 01-16 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0156402737 | $1.00 |
| 01-16 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |