PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa6B0CEA46964c2F96D18abA4B4E74Aa28eb43d89-1772184853277

0xa6b0cea46964c2f96d18aba4b4e74aa28eb43d89

Realised P&L
$905.85
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$167.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0200.017$167.65$32.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 08:27Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0196838551$200.00
06-03 13:07Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.0134940467$23.91
04-12 16:38Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0564288157$100.00
04-08 05:25US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.996$1.1k
04-07 21:37Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.0446103516$63.73
04-07 21:25US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.1805312154$200.00
03-27 04:42Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
03-22 19:55Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?SELL0.0708395356$28.55
03-22 08:12Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?BUY0.2480882875$100.00
03-20 18:10Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.25$113.77
03-20 18:10Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?SELL0.2471520975$668.30
03-16 20:26Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.1499999984$68.26
03-16 19:31Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.1831436691$495.22