PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Holden6628

0xa6a5d09531cf826b429ca3b03354bc05d715d53d

Realised P&L
$-0.16
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$15.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 5? · No0.9970.997$15.95+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 04:22Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$7.96
06-22 08:35Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.006$9.66
05-19 04:29Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.006$9.66
05-13 03:30Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.005$9.55
04-25 04:01Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76
04-23 08:00Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$9.92
04-22 08:51Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.99
04-21 08:03Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.08
04-20 07:05Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.99
03-23 02:57Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.981$597.43
03-21 02:48Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.982$571.52