Zap
0xa67a2b6fa71a7213f1cc25d70a17b5f9123165f0
- Realised P&L
- $-53.3k
- Volume
- $147.4k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $269.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-36.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.022 | $269.91 | +$124.54 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.0k |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$257.04 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.443 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.5k |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.83 |
| Will Biden go on the All-In Podcast? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.51at 0.570Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0121183607 | $145.37 |
| 10-22 21:00 | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BUY | 0.59 | $20.0k |
| 10-10 18:32 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.443 | $24.5k |
| 07-06 15:57 | Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.056 | $24.83 |
| 07-06 15:50 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.57 | $82.86 |
| 07-06 15:49 | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.8k |
| 07-06 15:43 | Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | BUY | 0.36 | $257.04 |
| 07-06 15:41 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.9k |
| 07-06 15:38 | Will Biden go on the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.022 | $4.40 |
| 07-06 15:33 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.0k |