0xa65652801880DB2358C815ADc4390E324A66fc5e-1775077737060
0xa65652801880db2358c815adc4390e324a66fc5e
- Realised P&L
- $-418.04
- Volume
- $123.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $28.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $28.48 | −$22.09 |
| Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.52 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.80 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.34at 0.022Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$69.47at 0.260Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
- +$47.45at 0.490Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
- +$45.66at 0.670Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner
- +$40.09at 0.379Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:27 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.0168665882 | $50.57 |
| 07-16 02:06 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.004877584 | $46.99 |
| 07-04 01:08 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $33.69 |
| 06-27 19:37 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.0149999998 | $66.85 |
| 06-06 01:58 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4599999885 | $12.00 |
| 05-30 00:18 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $12.82 |
| 05-29 18:41 | Trump out as President by May 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 05-28 19:39 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $48.26 |
| 05-27 19:23 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.0129999958 | $3.00 |
| 05-27 19:22 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.65 |
| 05-26 03:10 | Netanyahu out by May 31? | BUY | 0.0067957206 | $9.00 |
| 05-25 20:53 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $24.28 |
| 05-15 22:14 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $25.00 |
| 05-12 17:13 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $15.00 |
| 05-10 14:56 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.0059999998 | $25.00 |