fintrader
0xa5c9c873e823b9ba5df249050780dd186cd241b5
- Realised P&L
- $38.8k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.825 | $603.77 | +$267.12 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $500.00 | +$40.00 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in July? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $270.00 | +$21.60 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · No | 0.601 | 0.920 | $269.56 | +$93.33 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July? · No | 0.948 | 1.000 | $242.53 | +$12.54 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.297 | 0.660 | $193.60 | +$106.45 |
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.247 | 0.452 | $61.75 | +$27.92 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $21.32 | −$98.33 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? · No | 0.906 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$407.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.5kat 0.050SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1) - Most Sixes Pretoria Capitals Winner
- +$13.5kat 0.100SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Pretoria Capitals Winner
- +$8.4kat 0.160ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lanka
- +$5.7kat 0.429Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
- +$5.4kat 0.460Will Bitcoin reach $118k August 18–24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 13:32 | T20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India | BUY | 0.997 | $897.30 |
| 07-23 07:19 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in July? | BUY | 0.948315095 | $229.99 |
| 07-08 07:11 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2970999523 | $87.15 |
| 07-01 22:48 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 07-01 22:34 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $62.77 |
| 07-01 22:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $315 in July? | BUY | 0.92 | $248.40 |
| 07-01 22:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July? | BUY | 0.906 | $407.70 |
| 06-03 21:50 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | BUY | 0.9478 | $118.47 |
| 06-03 21:50 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June? | BUY | 0.9472402865 | $305.48 |
| 06-03 21:18 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $27.74 |
| 05-31 12:02 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans - Completed match? | BUY | 0.9989792627 | $1.1k |
| 05-28 14:41 | Will New Zealand win? | BUY | 0.94 | $197.08 |
| 05-28 14:35 | Will Virat Kohli win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.00 |
| 05-28 06:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.9679346667 | $290.38 |
| 05-28 06:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $163.35 |