0xa58991D9f2e52e663d9A8DfF4D97300055959EC9-1782977756566
0xa58991d9f2e52e663d9a8dff4d97300055959ec9
- Realised P&L
- $-504.24
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 615
- Open portfolio
- $48.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded615
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.28at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 13?
- +$29.46at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?
- +$27.14at 0.227Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?
- +$23.97at 0.173Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 14?
- +$22.58at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.37 |
| 08-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5399999618 | $3.96 |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.84 |
| 08-04 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.5506446407 | $3.92 |
| 08-04 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.50125 | $4.01 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.76 |
| 08-04 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1299706129 | $6.19 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.64 |
| 08-04 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.51 |
| 08-04 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.549999993 | $3.92 |
| 08-04 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1699999408 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.89 |