test123123123155523
0xa50e7e44391158a86b2323c02d16faec86e6583e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $403.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes | 0.995 | 0.990 | $348.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.007 | $46.94 | −$70.97 |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 250m and 300m by August 31? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.006 | $8.51 | +$2.98 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$24.47 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.88 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.14 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.840Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$280.35at 0.210Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$241.11at 0.718Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$198.01at 0.449Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$183.42at 0.314Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:26 | Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? | BUY | 0.9951653417 | $350.00 |
| 08-03 12:33 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0188382808 | $117.91 |
| 08-03 12:32 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 250m and 300m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0042256366 | $5.53 |
| 08-01 11:12 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.225 | $24.53 |
| 07-31 16:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $342.04 |
| 07-31 16:16 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.9769285357 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 16:07 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999998 | $350.00 |
| 07-31 16:01 | Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.537107184 | $27.96 |
| 07-31 15:58 | Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.9603960352 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $31.16 |
| 07-31 15:48 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6417623385 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 11:24 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.8819688915 | $44.80 |
| 07-31 11:24 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.42 |
| 07-31 11:24 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | SELL | 0.0458350731 | $2.20 |
| 07-30 22:56 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.7899998865 | $5.64 |