PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

test123123123155523

0xa50e7e44391158a86b2323c02d16faec86e6583e

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$403.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes0.9950.990$348.01$1.99
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0190.007$46.94$70.97
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 250m and 300m by August 31? · Yes0.0040.006$8.51+$2.98
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.001$0.05$24.47
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00$8.88
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$5.14
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$900.00
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:26Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?BUY0.9951653417$350.00
08-03 12:33Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0188382808$117.91
08-03 12:32Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 250m and 300m by August 31?BUY0.0042256366$5.53
08-01 11:12Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.225$24.53
07-31 16:22Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.86$342.04
07-31 16:16Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.9769285357$50.00
07-31 16:07Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.8799999998$350.00
07-31 16:01Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.537107184$27.96
07-31 15:58Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.9603960352$50.00
07-31 15:50Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?SELL0.4$31.16
07-31 15:48Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6417623385$50.00
07-31 11:24Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.8819688915$44.80
07-31 11:24Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.62$4.42
07-31 11:24Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?SELL0.0458350731$2.20
07-30 22:56Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.7899998865$5.64