PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Shure

0xa4e20d33e70e776d477fc2fbcfeed29631974c8b

Realised P&L
$185.49
Volume
$370.3k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · SpaceX0.8611.000$770.00+$107.03
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Over0.1900.325$579.15+$240.57
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally? · Yes0.8701.000$275.00+$35.75
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.7700.870$227.07+$26.10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · No0.8901.000$92.00+$10.12
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.3000.130$78.00$102.00
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26? · Yes0.4211.000$20.00+$11.58
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? · Yes0.5001.000$12.89+$6.45
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? · No0.3401.000$7.00+$4.62
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? · No0.7501.000$2.00+$0.50
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.7000.987$1.97+$0.57
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.6100.954$0.95+$0.34
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.775$0.78+$0.63
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.085$0.34$0.30
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1700.085$0.09$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:40Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.08$23.12
04-27 08:39Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.08$40.72
04-24 03:56Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.09$71.82
04-23 10:48Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026BUY0.77$200.97
04-21 08:11Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?SELL0.67$381.90
04-21 03:13Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$108.24
04-13 10:08Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?SELL0.31$279.93
04-13 09:54Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.62$244.28
04-13 09:34Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?SELL0.77$660.66
04-13 07:54Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.64$252.16
04-13 07:10Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?BUY0.83$712.14
04-13 06:01Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?BUY0.43$388.29
04-12 22:24Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?SELL0.65$9.75
04-12 22:23Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?SELL0.65$54.60
04-12 15:39Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?SELL0.66$576.18
Trader Shure · PolyBot