0xa4dd7a5f2af69061e0858b09bb72c5f5d7a5994c
- Realised P&L
- $29.40
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $25.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.94at 0.617Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$44.75at 0.250Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
- +$26.34at 0.557Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?
- +$16.01at 0.339Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
- +$15.61at 0.230Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 06:25 | Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.72 |
| 07-12 01:04 | Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.077 | $2.69 |
| 07-11 16:43 | Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 07-11 15:26 | Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.077 | $0.73 |
| 07-11 08:52 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-11 05:31 | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.11 |
| 07-10 13:14 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.31 | $15.53 |
| 07-10 09:29 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-10 06:44 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 07-08 23:12 | Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.084 | $1.69 |
| 07-08 05:54 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $13.86 |
| 07-07 14:50 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.72 | $27.40 |
| 07-06 16:19 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.325 | $3.24 |
| 07-06 12:30 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | SELL | 0.481 | $17.57 |
| 07-06 12:20 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | SELL | 0.482 | $9.64 |