Newptcbet
0xa4a0215644da28a4581dd582ffa34ab1e0c307cf
- Realised P&L
- $-53.42
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $0.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.06at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$8.69at 0.103Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.53at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
- +$7.52at 0.279Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.27at 0.401Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1199999193 | $1.19 |
| 08-04 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0653061224 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0036170726 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on August 3? | BUY | 0.0048323185 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0123089232 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0073653974 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0149008298 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 08-02 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0039379123 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0161444476 | $2.50 |
| 08-02 18:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0344875155 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.002528429 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0130738095 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0070612931 | $2.00 |