PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Newptcbet

0xa4a0215644da28a4581dd582ffa34ab1e0c307cf

Realised P&L
$-53.42
Volume
$18.3k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$0.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or higher on August 5? · Yes0.0040.001$0.28$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$1.94
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.50
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 4? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 2? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 3? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on August 3? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 3? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 4?BUY0.1199999193$1.19
08-04 00:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.1$1.95
08-04 00:21Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?BUY0.0653061224$2.00
08-03 12:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.0036170726$2.00
08-03 11:20Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on August 3?BUY0.0048323185$2.00
08-03 11:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.0123089232$2.00
08-03 02:57Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.0073653974$2.00
08-03 02:36Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 4?BUY0.0149008298$2.00
08-02 21:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.002$0.00
08-02 19:36Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 3?BUY0.0039379123$2.00
08-02 19:05Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.0161444476$2.50
08-02 18:53Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 4?BUY0.0344875155$2.00
08-02 18:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 3?BUY0.002528429$2.00
08-02 18:13Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.0130738095$2.00
08-02 18:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.0070612931$2.00