0xa480e0DE0748Ddf42db260e941636E573A3a7205-1723597269214
0xa480e0de0748ddf42db260e941636e573a3a7205
- Realised P&L
- $-22.3k
- Volume
- $157.5k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $955.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.00at 0.600Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-28?
- +$37.72at 0.570Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
- +$10.71at 0.700Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$8.33at 0.750Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$6.18at 0.850U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12? | BUY | 0.8966876304 | $98.97 |
| 04-12 13:12 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.8599999935 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 13:11 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 04-12 13:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.28 |
| 04-12 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or higher on April 13? | BUY | 0.8472886668 | $49.24 |
| 04-12 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 13? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $48.90 |
| 04-12 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on April 13? | BUY | 0.7488019169 | $48.74 |
| 04-12 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on April 13? | BUY | 0.8942822276 | $98.94 |
| 03-16 18:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 14:44 | Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999789 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:43 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 03-04 14:42 | USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9014899289 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4? | BUY | 0.9272183417 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:40 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.9499999762 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 14:39 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |