PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa480e0DE0748Ddf42db260e941636E573A3a7205-1723597269214

0xa480e0de0748ddf42db260e941636e573a3a7205

Realised P&L
$-22.3k
Volume
$157.5k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$955.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 13:13Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 12?BUY0.8966876304$98.97
04-12 13:12Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.8599999935$50.00
04-12 13:11Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.8299999977$50.00
04-12 13:10Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 12?BUY0.9$49.28
04-12 13:09Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or higher on April 13?BUY0.8472886668$49.24
04-12 13:09Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 13?BUY0.7799999978$48.90
04-12 13:09Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on April 13?BUY0.7488019169$48.74
04-12 13:08Will the highest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on April 13?BUY0.8942822276$98.94
03-16 18:54Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5099999986$50.00
03-04 14:44Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?BUY0.8799999789$20.00
03-04 14:43Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.75$25.00
03-04 14:42USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.9014899289$20.00
03-04 14:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?BUY0.9272183417$20.00
03-04 14:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.9499999762$20.00
03-04 14:39Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.75$25.00