PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xA41CB8D953cE31fD9D8725BeA7875CdC25c44419-1783715368234

0xa41cb8d953ce31fd9d8725bea7875cdc25c44419

Realised P&L
$-7.5k
Volume
$206.7k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$912.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2340.105$912.50$1.1k
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00$699.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$231.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$200.01
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$311.50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.1360.000$0.00$300.00
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5050.000$0.00$935.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:07Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2958396827$600.00
07-31 21:04Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2934093162$200.00
07-31 21:03Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2791252202$100.00
07-31 21:03Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.2424475332$100.00
07-28 07:23Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.1942274418$131.00
07-28 07:23Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0290771128$131.23
07-26 20:15Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0772169119$348.50
07-26 04:47Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.1986527052$901.00
07-26 04:46Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.06$401.20
07-25 21:21Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.0985545384$659.00
07-25 20:11Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0824904226$1.2k
07-23 15:22Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.3332981206$116.00
07-23 15:22Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.0644261093$116.85
07-23 12:22Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.3518051216$500.00
07-23 09:58Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.1036026165$187.91