0xA41CB8D953cE31fD9D8725BeA7875CdC25c44419-1783715368234
0xa41cb8d953ce31fd9d8725bea7875cdc25c44419
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $206.7k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $912.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.105 | $912.50 | −$1.1k |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$699.99 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.01 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$311.50 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$935.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.46at 0.147Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$537.91at 0.070Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$190.49at 0.435Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$87.56at 0.501Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$54.02at 0.014Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:07 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2958396827 | $600.00 |
| 07-31 21:04 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2934093162 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 21:03 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2791252202 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:03 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2424475332 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 07:23 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1942274418 | $131.00 |
| 07-28 07:23 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0290771128 | $131.23 |
| 07-26 20:15 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.0772169119 | $348.50 |
| 07-26 04:47 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1986527052 | $901.00 |
| 07-26 04:46 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $401.20 |
| 07-25 21:21 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.0985545384 | $659.00 |
| 07-25 20:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0824904226 | $1.2k |
| 07-23 15:22 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.3332981206 | $116.00 |
| 07-23 15:22 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | SELL | 0.0644261093 | $116.85 |
| 07-23 12:22 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.3518051216 | $500.00 |
| 07-23 09:58 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.1036026165 | $187.91 |