thisisfor2
0xa3803fb09f22623f9fe64fc83dd25df0cbee08a4
- Realised P&L
- $-212.38
- Volume
- $63.3k
- Markets traded
- 600
- Open portfolio
- $49.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded600
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.78at 0.011Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
- +$8.85at 0.006Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$6.34at 0.006Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.00at 0.010Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
- +$3.27at 0.009Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 02:43 | Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? | BUY | 0.9391833188 | $115.00 |
| 05-06 02:42 | Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 04-18 15:32 | Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.04 |
| 04-18 15:32 | Will Franz Wagner win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 04-18 15:32 | Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 04-18 15:32 | Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 04-18 15:32 | Will Carson Beck be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 04-17 13:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.57 |
| 04-17 13:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.96 |
| 04-17 13:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.96 |
| 04-17 13:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.96 |
| 04-17 13:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.96 |
| 04-17 13:11 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.5660098979 | $36.60 |
| 04-17 13:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.5233333333 | $17.66 |
| 04-17 13:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $7.44 |