PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

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0xa374d819827fa25d3f23d8336883007d9977ed09

Realised P&L
$-28.43
Volume
$37.8k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$253.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3001.000$200.00+$140.00
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.855$53.07$4.03
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$2.24
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$41.00
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$64.45
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$30.00
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00$15.30
Will Jimmy Butler Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-18 19:14Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?SELL0.76$35.20
01-09 03:40Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?SELL0.21$7.92
01-06 14:53College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?BUY0.993629529$471.96
01-06 14:51College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?BUY0.99$112.86
10-14 18:13Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
04-29 12:40Will Luka Doncic Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.9815133219$40.15
04-20 19:07Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.032$100.35
04-01 21:00Will Melania Trump be deported?BUY0.986$98.60
03-18 00:50Was JFK assassination an inside job?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
03-04 18:26Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?SELL0.005$0.10
03-04 18:24Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?SELL0.005$1.25
02-28 21:17Will Trump make English the national language?BUY0.5591041032$124.81
02-28 21:03Trump releases Epstein list today?SELL0.995$272.08
02-28 00:07Trump releases Epstein list today?BUY0.72$50.40
02-28 00:04Trump releases Epstein list today?BUY0.81$81.00