0xa35efC74daaDA70277B0AbFB6f1707a86A3d0e64-1776061928290
0xa35efc74daada70277b0abfb6f1707a86a3d0e64
- Realised P&L
- $-877.92
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.802 | 0.949 | $5.9k | +$922.60 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.920 | $408.89 | +$8.89 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes | 0.896 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$641.04 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · No | 0.708 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$803.28 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$216.36at 0.645Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$203.29at 0.830Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
- +$120.00at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$91.16at 0.296Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$86.96at 0.920Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 06:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 06:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $7.14 |
| 06-19 06:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 05-21 05:14 | Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $271.04 |
| 05-02 10:12 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:12 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8626579182 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 10:11 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 06:24 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $115.38 |
| 05-01 06:23 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $102.60 |
| 05-01 06:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.9649300548 | $249.97 |