PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bakedapeyachtclub

0xa347069e435d7cf2ca20e98cb6ef3b3801b22a40

Realised P&L
$298.60
Volume
$318.0k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5201.000$948.00+$455.04
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5301.000$670.00+$314.90
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08? · Yes0.1301.000$593.00+$515.91
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7100.780$580.32+$52.08
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Over0.1101.000$533.00+$474.37
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls · Temple Owls0.7400.500$276.00$132.48
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.4901.000$120.00+$61.20
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.940$97.76+$19.76
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.125$84.63$179.41
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%? · No0.2891.000$45.00+$32.00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Yes0.5701.000$2.34+$1.01
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · No0.9650.886$2.24$0.20
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$454.71
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$238.65
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3500.000$0.00$270.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 03:36Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.9$517.50
04-13 17:47Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.89$511.75
04-13 16:24Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.59$509.17
04-13 16:08Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?SELL0.77$250.25
04-13 15:56Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?SELL0.85$444.55
04-13 15:54Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?SELL0.85$1.1k
04-13 11:36Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5BUY0.89$1.0k
04-13 11:17Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?BUY0.87$1.6k
04-13 10:39Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.59$509.17
04-13 10:04Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?SELL0.67$24.79
04-13 10:03Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?SELL0.67$363.81
04-13 09:33Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?SELL0.77$671.44
04-13 09:12Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?SELL0.78$903.24
04-13 09:10Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?SELL0.78$1.0k
04-13 08:48Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?BUY0.67$388.60