0xA3227079D664a3f0D5E8891864C0feEF99A671e9-1781103295751
0xa3227079d664a3f0d5e8891864c0feef99a671e9
- Realised P&L
- $4.26
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.250Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.96at 0.753Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$12.24at 0.290Will Igor Thiago score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.13at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$8.13at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 07:55 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 00:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7529999997 | $39.50 |
| 07-20 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 03:47 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 03:33 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 10:25 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 10:25 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 10:24 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 10:24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 05:49 | Spread: Japan (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $7.26 |
| 06-21 04:27 | Spread: Japan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 05:58 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 05:58 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |