PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xa2eded4dA718244771D4f2b7810dA45533dE9d98-1783087549494

0xa2eded4da718244771d4f2b7810da45533de9d98

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$126.4k
Markets traded
2,539
Open portfolio
$237.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,539
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.63$8.82
08-04 20:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
08-04 19:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?SELL0.85$10.91
08-04 19:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
08-04 19:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?SELL0.75$0.47
08-04 19:06Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?SELL0.93$10.83
08-04 19:06Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?SELL0.73$0.93
08-04 19:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?SELL0.79$1.03
08-04 19:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?SELL0.77$1.80
08-04 19:03Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4?BUY0.82$4.56
08-04 18:18Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.71$1.14
08-04 18:09Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?SELL0.64$1.98
08-04 18:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?SELL0.61$1.63
08-04 18:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?SELL0.64$2.45
08-04 18:07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?SELL0.63$2.41