0xa2eded4dA718244771D4f2b7810dA45533dE9d98-1783087549494
0xa2eded4da718244771d4f2b7810da45533de9d98
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $126.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,539
- Open portfolio
- $237.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,539
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.22at 0.154Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
- +$152.87at 0.088Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
- +$107.78at 0.085Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
- +$104.86at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?
- +$81.70at 0.076Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $8.82 |
| 08-04 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.91 |
| 08-04 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.47 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.83 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.73 | $0.93 |
| 08-04 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.03 |
| 08-04 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.77 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.56 |
| 08-04 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.14 |
| 08-04 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.63 |
| 08-04 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.45 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.41 |