PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa2dCcd83971D56fb4e7cE45C491a968b29a249f9-1771568307503

0xa2dccd83971d56fb4e7ce45c491a968b29a249f9

Realised P&L
$41.6k
Volume
$1.77M
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$14.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.6950.655$8.2k$500.96
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.6750.785$4.7k+$655.11
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.6380.609$1.1k$52.41
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? · Yes0.6810.615$786.67$84.77
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3100.299$125.68$4.41
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$6.0k
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$30.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance · Colombia0.6000.000$0.00$330.00
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:04Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.66$816.41
08-02 01:33Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.72$948.23
08-02 01:30Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?BUY0.6986401376$1.5k
08-02 00:28Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.7064735667$2.1k
08-01 22:21Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6167504798$642.65
08-01 22:15Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?BUY0.62912655$1.3k
07-31 12:13Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?BUY0.58$11.60
07-28 13:58Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.74$222.00
07-28 13:56Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.7663633333$4.6k
07-03 19:09Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.35$1.1k
07-03 19:06Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.66$3.3k
07-03 18:27Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.65$3.2k
07-03 18:27Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64$2.5k
07-03 18:25Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.64$3.2k
05-09 13:32Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.02$2.0k