anastasiia-053
0xa2a394ccdf3960ed3845e759ca83af27a710aafc
- Realised P&L
- $-93.38
- Volume
- $21.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $19.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.019 | $8.13 | +$3.13 |
| Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.015 | $3.42 | −$0.55 |
| Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.69 | −$1.69 |
| Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.43 | −$0.48 |
| Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.003 | $0.96 | −$4.04 |
| Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $0.38 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.74at 0.120Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?
- +$7.14at 0.026Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- +$5.26at 0.002Will Miami Marlins win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
- +$4.45at 0.015Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
- +$3.34at 0.018Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-18 19:52 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 02-18 19:52 | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $1.42 |
| 02-13 09:40 | US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 09:40 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 12-24 15:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 12-24 11:33 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $80.08 |
| 12-23 11:18 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $79.20 |
| 12-23 09:24 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $79.05 |
| 12-22 15:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 22? | BUY | 0.997 | $72.78 |
| 12-22 14:30 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 12-19 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19? | BUY | 0.996 | $78.68 |
| 12-19 13:03 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 12-19 13:02 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 12-19 13:01 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.13 | $44.72 |
| 12-19 12:53 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.1694736842 | $25.76 |