0xa055416b8c8ca8e7665a5d8c92bcbdd382f4d8e0
- Realised P&L
- $0.22
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.925 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.949 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.465 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in August? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.130 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.325 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.61at 0.102Will Google reach $375 in April?
- +$7.64at 0.116Will Meta (META) close at $670-$680 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
- +$3.77at 0.515Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$3.64at 0.354Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June?
- +$3.10at 0.721Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:34 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:34 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 in August? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:34 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:33 | Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:34 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $48 in August? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:33 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:33 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:33 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $97.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 13:32 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:33 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on July 29? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 19:16 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on July 29? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |