amateo
0x9ff12974eedcc98eebf3f27cf812a30bfd17fc37
- Realised P&L
- $-125.42
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $796.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.360 | $346.55 | +$197.55 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.522 | 0.595 | $228.11 | +$28.11 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.655 | $222.03 | +$22.03 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.30 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.19at 0.554Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$38.11at 0.370Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$35.22at 0.460Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$30.71at 0.494Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
- +$24.55at 0.550Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 04:16 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $25.67 |
| 06-29 19:54 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $34.53 |
| 06-14 11:55 | Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-13 22:07 | Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4941248555 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 20:40 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 03:44 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.84 | $68.11 |
| 06-11 16:21 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3699999926 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 16:19 | Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 04:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999974 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 04:47 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0409999992 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 04:47 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1849999926 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 09:31 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $25.00 |
| 06-07 05:36 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-04 06:00 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4689999955 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 01:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.663038755 | $100.00 |