PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

amateo

0x9ff12974eedcc98eebf3f27cf812a30bfd17fc37

Realised P&L
$-125.42
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$796.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1550.360$346.55+$197.55
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5220.595$228.11+$28.11
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.655$222.03+$22.03
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$95.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$100.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.5870.000$0.00$480.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$41.30
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$11.00
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$30.00
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 04:16Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.022$25.67
06-29 19:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$34.53
06-14 11:55Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5499999972$30.00
06-13 22:07Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4941248555$30.00
06-12 20:40Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4599999939$30.00
06-12 03:44Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?SELL0.84$68.11
06-11 16:21Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.3699999926$30.00
06-11 16:19Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.003$30.00
06-11 04:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999974$50.00
06-11 04:47Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0409999992$50.00
06-11 04:47Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1849999926$20.00
06-08 09:31Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$25.00
06-07 05:36Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
06-04 06:00Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4689999955$50.00
06-03 01:56Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.663038755$100.00