wezwiz
0x9fd1f423406a8e0fff7981cb9378d212bf2bd8f4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $40.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $332.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.315 | $183.81 | −$66.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.480 | $145.89 | +$21.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? · No | 0.960 | 0.950 | $1.59 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.050 | $1.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.83at 0.761Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?
- +$170.69at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 23?
- +$105.87at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
- +$38.23at 0.345Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?
- +$34.86at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $17.30 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.55 |
| 08-03 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.69 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.31 |
| 08-01 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-01 22:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 08-01 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-01 21:25 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 08-01 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.54 | $12.42 |
| 08-01 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.53 | $17.91 |
| 08-01 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.92 |