ballknowledge
0x9fbd6a6eb867effc41c01c3fb6947698a7703d15
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $274.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,610
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,610
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.530 | 0.307 | $2.42 | −$1.76 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Seattle Seahawks next? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$2.90 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$802.08at 0.384Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$480.52at 0.680Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$450.00at 0.550Rams vs. Seahawks
- +$291.73at 0.389Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$277.85at 0.27076ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 23:01 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.46 | $27.60 |
| 05-08 11:24 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Zachary Svajda | BUY | 0.04 | $6.47 |
| 05-08 10:05 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Iva Jovic | BUY | 0.57 | $7.00 |
| 05-08 09:03 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Ann Li | BUY | 0.52 | $11.28 |
| 05-07 11:08 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.17 | $13.71 |
| 05-07 02:48 | Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.59 | $108.57 |
| 05-07 00:42 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.54 | $189.00 |
| 05-06 16:59 | Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $53.78 |
| 05-06 14:59 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapova | BUY | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 05-06 11:05 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 05-06 10:21 | Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.34 | $36.49 |
| 05-05 12:59 | Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.45 | $101.34 |
| 05-05 11:02 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 05-03 16:33 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.29 | $15.19 |
| 05-03 15:03 | Will CF América win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.46 | $75.93 |