vjkf
0x9f9e8819d30d0dd5e7d314a7ab9bc847f405c26a
- Realised P&L
- $-37.41
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $97.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.670 | $39.15 | −$12.85 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.991 | $35.37 | +$5.37 |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.772 | $23.09 | −$2.91 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.35at 0.789Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$11.25at 0.890US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.75at 0.800Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$1.73at 0.918Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
- +$1.72at 0.680Patriots vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 05:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999855 | $52.00 |
| 06-08 05:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 05:23 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.809999962 | $13.00 |
| 06-08 05:22 | Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999963 | $26.00 |
| 05-29 01:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.889999999 | $91.00 |
| 05-29 01:41 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.9740541693 | $91.35 |
| 05-23 01:09 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.7889999986 | $74.00 |
| 05-15 11:19 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.8 | $23.00 |
| 05-15 11:18 | Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999946 | $26.00 |
| 04-19 10:23 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.19 |
| 04-10 13:39 | Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 18? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $14.20 |
| 04-10 13:38 | Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.997 | $14.14 |
| 04-10 13:38 | Will Yulia Putintseva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | SELL | 0.994 | $20.02 |
| 04-01 08:23 | Will "The Way I Am - Luke Combs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.02 |
| 03-23 12:59 | Will "I'm The Problem" by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.38 |